Vortxa

AI-Driven Prediction Market Trading

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Strategy

Precision Forecasting.
Automated Execution.

Vortxa cross-references live meteorological data from MET Norway's high-resolution forecast grid with real-time Polymarket temperature markets — identifying mispriced contracts and executing instantly.

Trading Models

Our Algorithms

01
Live

High Confidence
Temperature Model

Identifies temperature markets where the meteorological forecast deviates significantly from the current market implied probability. Only enters positions with a minimum edge, executing instantly via market fills on the Polymarket CLOB.

YR.no Forecast Neg-Risk Routing Market Fill NO Tokens
≥ 2% Min Edge
3 Cities
< 2s Execution
02
In Development

Multi-Variable
Extended Range Model

Combines wind speed, precipitation probability, and pressure systems with an ensemble of NWP models to predict temperature ranges up to 7 days ahead — targeting early-entry pricing inefficiencies before the market adjusts.

Ensemble NWP Wind + Pressure 7-Day Horizon Early Entry
7 Day Horizon
10+ Cities
Q3 '26 Est. Launch

Live Performance

Trading by the numbers.

—
Total Trades
99%
Win Rate
1.7%
Avg Return P/D
3
Cities Monitored

Our Mission

We turn weather data
into market edge.

⚡

Speed

Forecasts update hourly. We act in seconds — before the market catches up to the data.

🎯

Precision

No guessing. Every position requires a statistically significant gap between forecast and market price.

🔁

Consistency

Systematic rules, no emotion. The same edge captured repeatedly across cities and time horizons.

About Us

Built by Traders.
Powered by Data.

Vortxa is an independent algorithmic trading operation based in the Netherlands, specialising in weather prediction markets. We combine meteorological expertise with quantitative finance to find systematic edges in short-term temperature markets.

Our models run 24/7, cross-referencing high-resolution weather forecasts from MET Norway against real-time Polymarket order flow — entering positions only when the probability gap is large enough to justify execution.

Founded 2026  ·  Amsterdam, Netherlands

Portfolio

Our Investments.

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